The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) (SPY) on Monday closed up +1.18%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI) (DIA) closed up +0.59%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) (QQQ) closed up +2.25%. September E-mini S&P futures (ESU26) rose +1.20%, and September E-mini Nasdaq futures (NQU26) rose +2.24%.
Stock indexes settled sharply higher on Monday, led by strength in technology stocks. Also, stocks found support on Monday after the US and Iran backed away from a fresh escalation of hostilities and agreed to stop attacking each other before peace talks resume over the Strait of Hormuz and other issues. President Trump said Monday that talks are set to resume in Doha on Tuesday.
More News from Barchart
WTI crude oil (CLQ26) rose by more than +2% on Monday on escalation of tensions in the Strait of Hormuz. Late Friday, the US attacked several Iranian military installations in retaliation for Iran’s attack on Thursday of a container ship in the strait. The US then attacked Iran again on Saturday after Iran attacked a tanker carrying Qatari oil and launched drone and missile attacks against US bases in Bahrain and Kuwait. However, crude oil prices fell from their best level after the US and Iran late Sunday agreed to stop attacking each other for now and to allow vessels to move freely through the Strait of Hormuz.
The markets are discounting a 32% chance of a +25 bp rate hike at the next FOMC meeting on July 28-29.
Overseas stock markets settled higher on Monday. The Euro Stoxx 50 closed up +0.16%. China’s Shanghai Composite rebounded from a 2-week low and closed up +1.16%. Japan’s Nikkei-225 Stock Average recovered from a 2-week low and closed up +0.15%.
Interest Rates
September 10-year T-notes (ZNU6) on Monday closed down -2.5 ticks, and the 10-year T-note yield rose +0.5 bp to 4.374%. T-notes were under pressure on Monday amid a +2% increase in WTI crude oil prices, which raised inflation expectations. Also, Monday’s strength in stocks reduced safe-haven demand for T-notes.
European government bond yields were mixed on Monday. The 10-year German bund yield rose +0.7 bp to 2.857%. The 10-year UK gilt yield fell -1.5 bp to 4.716%.
